2  Pre-Reading

To guide discussion on the use of our network-based models, we recommend that you read the following two papers in the journals Lancet HIV and Epidemics before the course. Because many of the methods are not included in the main papers, we suggest that you peruse the Supplementary Technical Appendices of at least one of the papers (you will see there is a good deal of overlap in the appendices between the two papers). In addition, you may be interested in skimming our primary methods paper on EpiModel in the Journal of Statistical Software.

2.0.2 Other Literature

You may be also interested in reading papers on the statistical methods featured in this course and/or applications using these methods.

2.0.2.1 ERGM Statistical Methods

  1. Hunter DR, Handcock MS, Butts CT, Goodreau SM, Morris M. ergm: A Package to Fit, Simulate and Diagnose Exponential-Family Models for Networks. J Stat Softw. 2008;24(3):nihpa54860. [PubMed] [Paper]

  2. Krivitsky PN, Handcock MS, Morris M. Adjusting for network size and composition effects in exponential-family random graph models. Stat Methodol. 2011;8(4):319–339. [PubMed] [Paper (PMC)]

  3. Krivitsky PN, Handcock MS. A separable model for dynamic networks. J R Stat Soc Series B Stat Methodol. 2014;76(1):29–46. [PubMed] [Paper]

  4. Krivitsky PN and Morris M. Inference for social network models from egocentrically sampled data, with application to understanding persistent racial disparities in hiv prevalence in the US. Ann Appl Stat. 11(1), 427–455. [PubMed] [Paper]

  5. Krivitsky, PN, Hunter DR, Morris M, Klumb C. ergm 4: New Features for Analyzing Exponential-Family Random Graph Models. Journal of Statistical Software. 2023; 105(6): 1–44. [Paper]

2.0.2.2 Applications of ERGMs

  1. Goodreau SM, Kitts JA, Morris M. Birds of a feather, or friend of a friend? Using exponential random graph models to investigate adolescent social networks. Demography. 2009;46(1):103–126. [PubMed] [Paper]

  2. Morris M, Kurth AE, Hamilton DT, Moody J, Wakefield S. Concurrent Partnerships and HIV Prevalence Disparities by Race: Linking Science and Public Health Practice. Am J Public Health. 2009;99(6):1023–1031. [PubMed] [Paper]

  3. Carnegie NB, Morris M. Size matters: concurrency and the epidemic potential of HIV in small networks. PloS One. 2012;7(8):e43048. [PubMed] [Paper]

2.0.2.3 Network Models of Epidemics using ERGMs (Pre-EpiModel)

  1. Goodreau SM, Cassels S, Kasprzyk D, Montaño DE, Greek A, Morris M. Concurrent Partnerships, Acute Infection and HIV Epidemic Dynamics Among Young Adults in Zimbabwe. AIDS Behav. 2010;16(2):312–322. [LINK]

  2. Goodreau SM, Carnegie NB, Vittinghoff E, Lama JR, Sanchez J, Grinsztejn B, Koblin BA, Mayer KH, Buchbinder SP. What drives the US and Peruvian HIV epidemics in men who have sex with men (MSM)? PloS One. 2012;7(11):e50522. [LINK]

  3. Goodreau SM, Carnegie NB, Vittinghoff E, Lama JR, Fuchs JD, Sanchez J, Buchbinder SP. Can male circumcision have an impact on the HIV epidemic in men who have sex with men? PLoS One. 2014;9(7):e102960. [LINK]

  4. Carnegie NB, Goodreau SM, Liu A, Vittinghoff E, Sanchez J, Lama JR, Buchbinder S. Carnegie NB1, Goodreau SM, Liu A, Vittinghoff E, Sanchez J, Lama JR, Buchbinder S. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr. 2015;69(1):119–25. [LINK]

2.0.2.4 Applied Research using EpiModel (Epidemics and Other Diffusion Processes)

EpiModel and its extension packages have been used in many scientific journal articles, in a wide array of fields. A list of these articles can be accessed in a wiki page.

A good current example is:

Jenness SM, Knowlton G, Smith DK, Marcus JL, Anderson EJ, Siegler AJ, Jones J, Sullivan PS, Enns E. A decision analytics model to optimize investment in interventions targeting the HIV preexposure prophylaxis cascade of care. AIDS. 2021; 35(9): 1479-1489. [PubMed] [Preprint]